CROSS scenarios (V2022-09)

Climate target
2050 net-zero GHG target
Target excluding emissions from aviation with two variants for emission compensation abroad
Market integration
Two variants
Low and high energy market integration
Nuclear policy
Phase-out
Nuclear phase-out at the end of existing plant lifetimes

A harmonised set of Swiss energy-system futures defined along two policy dimensions: climate policy ambition and international energy market integration

Scenario definition

Scenario space (2x2)

The four scenarios results from combining two dimension: climate policy (domestic vs. carbon removal abroad) and market integration (high vs. low)

Domestic-together

  • Climate policy: Net-zero GHG - domestic
  • Market integration: High

Abroad-together

  • Climate policy: Net-zero GHG - abroad
  • Market integration: High


Domestic-alone

  • Climate policy: Net-zero GHG - domestic
  • Market integration: Low

Abroad-alone

  • Climate policy: Net-zero GHG - abroad
  • Market integration: Low


Scenario dimensions

Climate policy dimension

Two variants describe how Switzerland reaches net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050:

  • Net-zero GHG - domestic: Target by 2050 achieved with domestic measures only
  • Net-zero GHG - abroad: Target by 2050 can also be achieved using carbon removal abroad

Energy market integration dimension

Two variants describe Switzerland's integration into international energy markets:

  • High integration: agreements secure market access including electricity, hydrogen, biofuels and other synthetic fuels.
  • Low integration: reduced import availability of electricity, hydrogen and other sustainable synthetic fuels.
Modelling protocol and scenario document

Scenario documentation

Downloads

Scenario document

Scenario definitions, narrative and core assumptions

Modelling protocol

Summarised input parameters and scenario assumptions

Version history

Changelog

2022-11-22

First published (CROSS scenarios V2022-09)

2022-12-13

Updated import prices and net transfer capacities (NTCs)

2023-07-19

Updated links to CROSSDat resources including versions)