CROSS / CROSS catalog / System dynamics models
System dynamics models
Developers
ZHAW, Romand Energy, Alpiq
ZHAW, Romand Energy, Alpiq
Contact
Silvia Ulli-Beer, INE ZHAW
License
Proprietary
SWEET Project
DeCarbCH - WP 2
Simulate and evaluate the impact of business model innovation in the heat and cooling sector; Assess uncertainty in the heat and cooling renewable transition
Features
- Sensitivity analysis of uncertain data
- Policy and strategy scenarios
- Comparative comparison of business model variants
Facts
| Class | System Dynamics |
| Type | Deterministic + Monte Carlo |
| Spatial regions | Districts |
| Spatial resolution | Industrial site |
| Time coverage | 10-30 years |
| Time resolution | Yearly |
Sectors | Typical industries (e.g. food) |
Category | Inputs | Outputs |
|---|---|---|
| Socioeconomy | Climate policy measures Managerial (strategical, business models) Psychological (revealed or stated preferences, willingness to pay, intentions) Preferences Decision routines Sustainability Strategies Utility calculations System Integration costs | Managerial (strategical, business models) Psychological (revealed or stated preferences, willingness to pay, intentions) Revenue |
| Infrastructure | Thermal network | |
| Environment | CO2 emissions from electricity production | CO2 emissions in industry |
| Energy demand | Space heating Space Cooling Industrial heating Industrial cooling | |
| Energy supply/production | Space heating Space cooling Industrial heating Industrial cooling Heat storage | |
| Resource potential | ||
| Direct demand of resources | ||
| Trade | ||
| Technologies Inv: Investment costs Eff: Efficiency OM: Operation and Maintenance costs LCA: Life cycle assessment indicators | Heat production (Inv,Eff) Heat storage (Inv,Eff) Heat production (OM) Heat storage (OM) | Heat production (LCA) Heat storage (LCA) Heat production (OM) Heat storage (OM) |
| Prices | ||
| Others | Heat pricing model |
References
- S. Ulli-Beer et al (2017). Participative modelling of socio-technical transitions: Why and How Should We Look Beyond the Case-Specific Energy Transition Challenge?. Systems research and behavioral science. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/sres.2470
- M. Kubli and S. Ulli-Beer (2016). Decentralisation dynamics in energy systems: A generic simulation of network effects. Energy Research & Social Science. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214629615300931
- J. Zapata (2021). Combining Business Model Innovation and Model-Based Analysis to Tackle the Deep Uncertainty of Societal Transitions—A Case Study on Industrial Electrification and Power Grid Management. Sustainability. https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/13/7264
- M. Kubli and P. Canzi (2021). Business strategies for flexibility aggregators to steer clear of being too small to bid. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136403212100201X
This page was last modified on 2022.02.22, 13:16